Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.704638 0.898145 1.115216 1.374043 1.671547 2.000213 2.388133
2025-08-31 0.431631 0.671198 0.974424 1.373872 1.873869 2.467378 3.213212
2025-09-07 0.292692 0.554508 0.925439 1.457328 2.169425 3.060924 4.231775
2025-09-14 0.194544 0.455427 0.869378 1.511275 2.422137 3.613557 5.233922
2025-09-21 0.124571 0.369209 0.805868 1.535565 2.626762 4.109100 6.184852
2025-09-28 0.072387 0.286281 0.722120 1.508911 2.747254 4.490262 6.996883
2025-10-05 0.044557 0.237000 0.680823 1.537042 2.942154 4.976054 7.961565
2025-10-12 0.025492 0.193369 0.635836 1.547783 3.104964 5.417962 8.876626
2025-10-19 0.011603 0.146649 0.567171 1.502039 3.169012 5.713739 9.592764
2025-10-26 0.004539 0.111754 0.511177 1.467518 3.243059 6.021465 10.329612
2025-11-02 0.001683 0.090620 0.481483 1.478060 3.389904 6.440729 11.234508
2025-11-09 0.000258 0.066327 0.429655 1.431777 3.431057 6.695106 11.902761
2025-11-16 0.000040 0.058263 0.428100 1.497668 3.680538 7.290851 13.100432
2025-11-23 NaN 0.045461 0.401685 1.502037 3.817408 7.713055 14.052244
2025-11-30 NaN 0.041875 0.411075 1.593132 4.120897 8.411983 15.434984
2025-12-07 NaN 0.036202 0.407694 1.651718 4.365099 9.021239 16.694638
2025-12-14 NaN 0.029278 0.392804 1.678173 4.547760 9.534029 17.817269
2025-12-21 NaN 0.020774 0.359764 1.650151 4.620216 9.865072 18.666948
2025-12-28 NaN 0.016601 0.348742 1.680228 4.809071 10.394223 19.830482
2026-01-04 NaN 0.012529 0.332416 1.691731 4.959281 10.860368 20.902580
2026-01-11 NaN 0.007717 0.298419 1.643122 4.980406 11.105304 21.631874
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004602 0.270522 1.606410 5.022342 11.384976 22.418697
2026-01-25 NaN 0.003115 0.258119 1.617639 5.167296 11.846594 23.500549